ferrarilover wrote:
With Bet365, all 5 results coming in which would see us relegated (Rovers away, D&R v York draw, Barnet away, Plymouth or Draw, Wombles home) is 105/1
I'm having a fiver on it, you know, just in case.
Interestingly, Wombles to beat Fleetwood is 8/11, with the Fleetwood win at 7/2. Had this game been 6 weeks ago, those odds would have been the other way round. Even the bookies don't discount the power of need over ability. (I might still have a couple of shillings on Fleetwood in any case, that does seem too good to turn down)
Matt.
You need 4 fiveways to cover every eventuality according to my info. Got 4 x £2.50's on just that very combination (you missed a Barnet draw and us losing heavily). 600 back if the worst happens. I look at it as an insurance policy.
Apathy Rules...............it's ok though, nobody's that fussed about it........
A lot of people wasting money here.. I don't think 100/1 represents good value. To the poster who took 66/1, I've just called the cops, you've been robbed.
The value this weekend for people who are actually looking to make money from gambling, is in my opinion, betting against the teams whose price is far too short just because they have something to play for. I'll be laying Wimbledon at 1.82 but may back them at a bigger price around the hour mark if they're still level or behind, as it's in the latter stages of the game where desire will overcome ability.
It's not wasting money, Chinese, me old china, it's an insurance policy. I've just had a tenner on all the results going against us, that comes in at a shade over 100/1.
The logic is, would I pay a tenner to keep us up? Yes
Would I feel better about relegation if I had a bag of sand in my pocket? Yes.
I can't lose.
Matt.
Interestingly, I haven't looked properly, but a Fleetwood & Rovers double seems to be coming in at almost 18/1 with 365, maybe a little more elsewhere. These two prices are based on those teams having nothing to play for and facing teams who need points to avoid the drop. Still, talent is talent and those two matches, say, 6 weeks ago would have been a 4/1 double. All aboard the value train.
Yeah, I'll give you that one. I'm just in favour of keeping betting separate from my support of Torquay. Lets hope that everyone's relegation bet is a loser and I can spend my Aldershot winnings on a night of celebration. Incidentally, Powers have gone in to 80/1 but Coral are standing firm at 100s.
With regards to Fleetwood, the bet is even better value when you consider that if it's level with 5 minutes left, Wimbledon will throw Neil Sullivan and his kitchen sink forward in search of a winner, paving the way for a Torres v Barcelona style winner.
That's a tough one to take, especially when the less likely one came in. Had a late back of Real Madrid to qualify at 95 tonight, thought Diego Lopez was gonna make me some money at the end there.
Obviously it depends on signings and how the playoffs go but it's a good indicator of where the bookies have everyone finishing. I think Rochdale and Mansfield will be exceed expectations and relegated sides Hartlepool and Scunthorpe will under achieve. They've got us as relegation candidates which is fair enough but i'd have us finishing 14th.