Conference Odds

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MellowYellow
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Conference Odds

Post by MellowYellow »

TU at 16/1 seems worth a punt. What do the bookies know that we don't? Not a lot considering they have the gasheads at 6/1.

http://www.betvictor.com/sports/en/foot ... /0/0/0/0/1

Bristol Rovers 6/1
Forest Green Rovers 8/1
Wrexham 8/1
Kidderminster 8/1
Grimsby Town 10/1
Eastleigh 10/1
Aldershot Town 14/1
Lincoln City 14/1
Gateshead 14/1
Barnet 16/1
Torquay United 16/1
Halifax Town 20/1
Southport 25/1
Chester 25/1
Alfreton Town 25/1
Braintree Town 33/1
Nuneaton Town 33/1
Altrincham 40/1
Macclesfield Town 40/1
Woking 40/1
Telford United 40/1
Dartford 50/1
Dover 50/1
Welling United 50/1BarnetSteve
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Post by hector »

Looking at that list, I think Chester, Woking and Telford might surprise people. I think the bookies have it about right for us, even though it is pretty depressing to see it like that.

I think Bristol Rovers, FGR, Kidderminster, will all fail to live up to their odds.
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Post by MellowYellow »

Try this link for size - gives all odds

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/eng ... ier/winner

How have Eastleigh got into the favourites - two good strikers but is that enough?
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Post by hector »

MellowYellow wrote:Try this link for size - gives all odds

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/eng ... ier/winner

How have Eastleigh got into the favourites - two good strikers but is that enough?
Money and everybody tipping them. Even if, they are not as good as people think and it's unlikely that they will win it, the fact they are being mentioned, raising awareness of them etc, the bookies are likely to receive an increase in bets and would presumably adjust their odds accordingly, because if Eastleigh did win it, the bookies would be wiped out otherwise. Talk can reduce the odds, just as much as potential signings etc.
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Post by gullintwoplaces »

Being one of the favourites in this League is more of a curse than an advantage. I am happy that we are tipped to be an also ran, the only way is up.
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Post by happytorq »

hector wrote: Money and everybody tipping them. Even if, they are not as good as people think and it's unlikely that they will win it, the fact they are being mentioned, raising awareness of them etc, the bookies are likely to receive an increase in bets and would presumably adjust their odds accordingly, because if Eastleigh did win it, the bookies would be wiped out otherwise. Talk can reduce the odds, just as much as potential signings etc.
I feel like the question "How can X team be that price?" comes up pretty much every season, and as Hector suggests, it has pretty much nothing to do with the team's actual chances of winning the league. It's all about weight of money (which is why England are always a good 40% shorter than they really should be to win..anything)
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Post by lucy6lucy »

14-1 for the drop on sky bet
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Post by lucy6lucy »

Bowden 33-1 for leagues top goal scorer
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Post by Richinns »

Had a dabble on the 16-1 e/w and with my free bet money for opening an account with betbullyvictor I stuck it all on Bowman 33-1 e/w for leading goal scorer.

This, of course, was all before the Weymouth showing!
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MellowYellow
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Post by MellowYellow »

CONFERENCE TOP SCORER - BOWMAN AT 33/1 - BENYON AT 40/1

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/eng ... goalscorer
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Post by MellowYellow »

Exeter City, bookies second favourite for relegation. At least they have got that one right.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/eng ... relegation
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