Page 2 of 2

Miracles do Happen. 49 Points?

Posted: 16 Apr 2014, 16:24
by Colorado Gull
Kit_robin wrote: Unfortunately, because northants play Wycombe on Friday, the best we can hope for on Easter Monday is 2 points behind. Still within one game though!

Just the winning games part that's tricky.

Oh yes that is correct. We would be (at best case scenario) 1 point away from either Northampton or Wycombe (probably Wycombe) and then two points from Rovers.

Miracles do Happen. 49 Points?

Posted: 17 Apr 2014, 16:50
by AustrianAndyGull
Not in this case. First of all we need to beat Daggers, Exeter and then Mansfield (who themselves could be making a late run for the play offs by the time we meet), then we have to hope that none of the above teams win a game. If it was as simple as us winning the next 3 or 4 and we'd be safe then such a scenario would be in our own hands and achievable but as likely as Simon Cowell looking in the mirror and suddenly realising what the rest of the world have already and that his hair looks a right mess. That's right, it will never happen.

We also have the added factor of hoping other teams above don't accumulate anymore or many more points which is the crux of it all. I'd assume they would get enough points in the end.

If we win ALL of our remaining games then I do think we'd have a chance and that would be a true miracle.

Miracles do Happen. 49 Points?

Posted: 17 Apr 2014, 18:10
by lucy6lucy
If and it's a big IF we do manage to win our remaining 4 games, goal difference will come back to bite us.

Miracles do Happen. 49 Points?

Posted: 21 Apr 2014, 19:10
by portugull
When I started this thread there were 4 games to play and I targeted 49 points.

With 2 games to go the best we can do is 48.

However look at our rivals! Rovers are on a really bad run.Wycombe have to play Rover and us!!

Northampton play Oxford at Home, a local derby, I fancy Oxford to win that one, and Daggers away.

So Northampton 47, United 48, Rovers 48,Wycombe 48.

It really could go down to goal difference and we would go down.

BUT if Rovers lose BOTH their games they go down with the Cobblers. That would be perfect!!!!!!!!!!

Miracles do Happen. 49 Points?

Posted: 21 Apr 2014, 19:34
by Gullscorer
Don't look at the table..

Miracles do Happen. 49 Points?

Posted: 21 Apr 2014, 19:44
by standupsitdown
portugull wrote:We could still escape the drop. If we can get 3 wins and a draw we achieve 49 points. A big ask but possible.

Rovers could get well beaten at Pompey lose at home to Rochdale and Mansfield and draw at Wycombe. Result 48 points.

Wycombe get a draw home to Northampton, lose at Fleetwood and Torquay and draw with Rovers. Result 48 points.

The Cobblers draw at Wycombe and also home to Pompey and Oxford, both very tough games and lose at Daggers. Result 49 points.

Bixie what are the odds on United staying up? Might have a little flutter you never know!!
Interstingly if this is updated with the same results as you gave for remaining matches adding in points for the last two games, all four clubs end up on 48 points. Torquay and Northampton go down on goal difference - unless we beat Wycombe by about six.

A draw between Rovers & Wycombe will effectively relegate Torquay regardless of other results. Both teams are on an awaful run but hopefully Rovers can win so overtaking Wycombe is in our hands (of course we have to win at Mansfield). Hopefully Northampton will lose to Oxford, who are local rivals and a better team who may still be hoping for a playoff place, although only an outside chance now). First we need Northampton to lose to Dagenham, who also aren't very good but seem to pick up results, although a draw would be Ok if one of our wins or their defeat is by more than one goal.