by ferrarilover » 07 Jan 2013, 04:33
Do not drink and post. Drink and drive, yes, ok, if you must, no one likes walking home from the pub, but drinking and posting is a terrible idea.
Have another count when you're feeling less, eerm... fragile and you'll find there are indeed a full compliment of XI.
The last half a dozen games of last season are hardly a reflection on the formation which had seen us into the auto spots for a chunk of the preceding 40 matches. I still blame, in equal measure, Nick Powell and the referee from the same match for our failure to secure an auto place last term. His goal, and the referee's ruling out of our perfectly good winner, was what took the wind out of our sails. The formation wasn't suddenly the problem, it was just the we ran out of steam.
Morris isn't a wide man, but I needed a trip of he, NC and Manse and 3 men into 2 spaces doesn't go, so Morro got shunted wide. He is a classy player, some of his touches to create space and the effortless manner in which he can go past people are very classy indeed. It took a while for it to shine through, but it's there and it will be on show again next season.
Sadly, as I have mentioned previously in response to criticism of the team, there are only half a dozen teams on Earth who have the holy twosome of being able to score loads while conceding few and we definitely ain't on the list. As a L2 manager, one must set our one's stall to play a certain way. Some teams are fast, some teams are big, some teams try to play football as best they can and Accrington **** up their pitch so that the game becomes a lottery. We haven't got the money to sign a load of attacking talent, so 'doing a Port Vale' and simply setting up to score more than the oppo isn't an option. No one really wants to watch Northampton every week, just smashing 70 yard balls up to their two giants, so that's out. We aren't really blessed with bags of pace in the team, and we only really have the cash to pay one guy who can score [ir]regularly, so it's a case for us of shut up shop from the word go and hope to nick a goal via Rene.
This system isn't perfect, but it's no more imperfect than it was last year. The difference is that, in L2 which is so often a tallest dwarf competition across the middle 80% (that is to say, the top 10% are very very good, the bottom 10% are very very bad and the middle 80% are all much of a muchness, reliant more upon luck than skill to determine their final ranking). Last year, we were in the top 10%, where it is more a case of genuinely being one of the better teams (regardless of your chosen method of so being), whereas this year, we're in the 80%, where odd things tend to happen and also to have a greater effect on the league table. It's not an exact science, of course, but, honestly, do we really think there is all that much difference between, say Exeter and Morecambe? Well, the table says that one team is in 5th and the other in 19th. Sounds like a world of difference, but the goal difference tells us that Exeter are a mere 4 goals better off than Morecambe. 4 goals is the difference between the edge of the autos and flirting with relegation. How much better than Morecambe can Exeter really be? An alternative look at the same two teams shows that the difference between the two clubs is 9 away goals. Exeter have scored 9 away goals more than Morecambe, but those 9 goals (in 13 games) have earned them a whopping 16 extra points over Morecambe. In fact, this shows just how poor Exeter are in some respects, since adding 16 points to Morecambe's record actually gives them 45, which is 4 more than Exeter have. See what I mean? It's a lot more to do with luck than judgement. It's entirely possible for Morecambe to have scored an extra 9 away goals and have absolutely no more points than they have now. Even allowing for those extra goals to come in games they did not win, they'd could have just 5 more points.
It is this theory which makes me a little more confident than some that we aren't going down this year. No, we're not good, but then, nor are a great many of the other sides I've seen this year. We're in the 80% this year, and come May, we might well find ourselves towards the bottom end of it, but we are not in the bottom 10%, and it is that group of teams which will supply the eventual relegatees (Useless and Plymouth, if there is a God).
Matt.
Do not drink and post. Drink and drive, yes, ok, if you must, no one likes walking home from the pub, but drinking and posting is a terrible idea.
Have another count when you're feeling less, eerm... fragile and you'll find there are indeed a full compliment of XI.
The last half a dozen games of last season are hardly a reflection on the formation which had seen us into the auto spots for a chunk of the preceding 40 matches. I still blame, in equal measure, Nick Powell and the referee from the same match for our failure to secure an auto place last term. His goal, and the referee's ruling out of our perfectly good winner, was what took the wind out of our sails. The formation wasn't suddenly the problem, it was just the we ran out of steam.
Morris isn't a wide man, but I needed a trip of he, NC and Manse and 3 men into 2 spaces doesn't go, so Morro got shunted wide. He is a classy player, some of his touches to create space and the effortless manner in which he can go past people are very classy indeed. It took a while for it to shine through, but it's there and it will be on show again next season.
Sadly, as I have mentioned previously in response to criticism of the team, there are only half a dozen teams on Earth who have the holy twosome of being able to score loads while conceding few and we definitely ain't on the list. As a L2 manager, one must set our one's stall to play a certain way. Some teams are fast, some teams are big, some teams try to play football as best they can and Accrington **** up their pitch so that the game becomes a lottery. We haven't got the money to sign a load of attacking talent, so 'doing a Port Vale' and simply setting up to score more than the oppo isn't an option. No one really wants to watch Northampton every week, just smashing 70 yard balls up to their two giants, so that's out. We aren't really blessed with bags of pace in the team, and we only really have the cash to pay one guy who can score [ir]regularly, so it's a case for us of shut up shop from the word go and hope to nick a goal via Rene.
This system isn't perfect, but it's no more imperfect than it was last year. The difference is that, in L2 which is so often a tallest dwarf competition across the middle 80% (that is to say, the top 10% are very very good, the bottom 10% are very very bad and the middle 80% are all much of a muchness, reliant more upon luck than skill to determine their final ranking). Last year, we were in the top 10%, where it is more a case of genuinely being one of the better teams (regardless of your chosen method of so being), whereas this year, we're in the 80%, where odd things tend to happen and also to have a greater effect on the league table. It's not an exact science, of course, but, honestly, do we really think there is all that much difference between, say Exeter and Morecambe? Well, the table says that one team is in 5th and the other in 19th. Sounds like a world of difference, but the goal difference tells us that Exeter are a mere 4 goals better off than Morecambe. 4 goals is the difference between the edge of the autos and flirting with relegation. How much better than Morecambe can Exeter really be? An alternative look at the same two teams shows that the difference between the two clubs is 9 away goals. Exeter have scored 9 away goals more than Morecambe, but those 9 goals (in 13 games) have earned them a whopping 16 extra points over Morecambe. In fact, this shows just how poor Exeter are in some respects, since adding 16 points to Morecambe's record actually gives them 45, which is 4 more than Exeter have. See what I mean? It's a lot more to do with luck than judgement. It's entirely possible for Morecambe to have scored an extra 9 away goals and have absolutely no more points than they have now. Even allowing for those extra goals to come in games they did not win, they'd could have just 5 more points.
It is this theory which makes me a little more confident than some that we aren't going down this year. No, we're not good, but then, nor are a great many of the other sides I've seen this year. We're in the 80% this year, and come May, we might well find ourselves towards the bottom end of it, but we are not in the bottom 10%, and it is that group of teams which will supply the eventual relegatees (Useless and Plymouth, if there is a God).
Matt.